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Submissions from 2023

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Lethality and deterrence in affairs of honor: The case of the antebellum U.S. south, Tom Ahn, Paul Shea, and Jeremy Sandford

Asymmetric Effects of Positive and Negative Commodity Price Shocks During Civil Wars, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

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Teaching an undergraduate elective on the Great Recession (and the COVID-19 recession too), Emily C. Marshall and Paul Shea

Submissions from 2022

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Filling a niche? The maize productivity impacts of adaptive breeding by a local seed company in Kenya, Samuel S. Bird, Michael R. Carter, Travis J. Lybbert, Mary Mathenge, Timothy Njagi, and Emilia Tjernström

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Fooled by the cycle: Permanent versus cyclical improvements in social indicators, Jose A. Camarena, Luciana Galeano, Luis Morano, Jorge Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh, Lucila Venturi, and Guillermo Vuletin

Commodity terms of trade shocks and political transitions, Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton, and Brittany Tarufelli

Submissions from 2021

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Non-linear effects of tax changes on output: The role of the initial level of taxation, Samara Gunter, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin

Submissions from 2019

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LEARNING, HEDGING, AND THE NATURAL RATE HYPOTHESIS, Thomas E. Cone and Paul Shea

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ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND HOUSEHOLD LEVERAGE, Emily C. Marshall, Hoang Nguyen, and Paul Shea

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The Macroeconomics of Pascal’s Wager, Paul Shea

Submissions from 2018

Controlling for Import Price Effects in Civil War Regressions, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

Submissions from 2017

Tax policy and the macroeconomy: Measurement, identification, and non-linearities, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin

Submissions from 2016

Predicting the Winner of Tied National Football League Games: Do the Details Matter?, Jared Quenzel and Paul Shea

Tax multipliers: Pitfalls in measurement and identification, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin

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Short-sighted managers and learnable sunspot equilibria, Paul Shea

Submissions from 2015

Desafíos del manejo de la liquidez y de los activos internacionales en latinoamérica, Joshua Aizenman and Daniel Riera-Crichton

Economic shocks, civil war and ethnicity, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

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Real exchange rate volatility, economic growth and the euro, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

The output effect of gross foreign investment reversals, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

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Estimating the causal relationship between foreclosures and unemployment during the great recession, Ghulam Awais Rana and Paul Shea

Procyclical and countercyclical fiscal multipliers: Evidence from OECD countries, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin

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Red herrings and revelations: Does learning about a new variable worsen forecasts?, Paul Shea

Submissions from 2014

A note on bubbles, worthless assets, and the curious case of general motors, Tom Ahn, Jeremy Sandford, and Paul Shea

Macronutrients and obesity: Revisiting the calories in, calories out framework, Daniel Riera-Crichton and Nathan Tefft

Submissions from 2013

International gross capital flows: New uses of balance of payments data and application to financial crises, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton

Learning by doing, short-sightedness and indeterminacy, Paul Shea

Submissions from 2012

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Adjustment patterns to commodity terms of trade shocks: The role of exchange rate and international reserves policies, Joshua Aizenman, Sebastian Edwards, and Daniel Riera-Crichton

Submissions from 2008

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Real exchange rate and international reserves in an era of growing financial and trade integration, Joshua Aizenman and Daniel Riera-Crichton