Submissions from 2023
Lethality and deterrence in affairs of honor: The case of the antebellum U.S. south, Tom Ahn, Paul Shea, and Jeremy Sandford
Asymmetric Effects of Positive and Negative Commodity Price Shocks During Civil Wars, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Teaching an undergraduate elective on the Great Recession (and the COVID-19 recession too), Emily C. Marshall and Paul Shea
Submissions from 2022
Filling a niche? The maize productivity impacts of adaptive breeding by a local seed company in Kenya, Samuel S. Bird, Michael R. Carter, Travis J. Lybbert, Mary Mathenge, Timothy Njagi, and Emilia Tjernström
Fooled by the cycle: Permanent versus cyclical improvements in social indicators, Jose A. Camarena, Luciana Galeano, Luis Morano, Jorge Puig, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos Vegh, Lucila Venturi, and Guillermo Vuletin
Commodity terms of trade shocks and political transitions, Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton, and Brittany Tarufelli
Submissions from 2021
Non-linear effects of tax changes on output: The role of the initial level of taxation, Samara Gunter, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin
Submissions from 2019
LEARNING, HEDGING, AND THE NATURAL RATE HYPOTHESIS, Thomas E. Cone and Paul Shea
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND HOUSEHOLD LEVERAGE, Emily C. Marshall, Hoang Nguyen, and Paul Shea
The Macroeconomics of Pascal’s Wager, Paul Shea
Submissions from 2018
Controlling for Import Price Effects in Civil War Regressions, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Submissions from 2017
Tax policy and the macroeconomy: Measurement, identification, and non-linearities, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin
Submissions from 2016
Predicting the Winner of Tied National Football League Games: Do the Details Matter?, Jared Quenzel and Paul Shea
Tax multipliers: Pitfalls in measurement and identification, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin
Short-sighted managers and learnable sunspot equilibria, Paul Shea
Submissions from 2015
Desafíos del manejo de la liquidez y de los activos internacionales en latinoamérica, Joshua Aizenman and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Economic shocks, civil war and ethnicity, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Real exchange rate volatility, economic growth and the euro, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton
The output effect of gross foreign investment reversals, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Estimating the causal relationship between foreclosures and unemployment during the great recession, Ghulam Awais Rana and Paul Shea
Procyclical and countercyclical fiscal multipliers: Evidence from OECD countries, Daniel Riera-Crichton, Carlos A. Vegh, and Guillermo Vuletin
Red herrings and revelations: Does learning about a new variable worsen forecasts?, Paul Shea
Submissions from 2014
A note on bubbles, worthless assets, and the curious case of general motors, Tom Ahn, Jeremy Sandford, and Paul Shea
Macronutrients and obesity: Revisiting the calories in, calories out framework, Daniel Riera-Crichton and Nathan Tefft
Submissions from 2013
International gross capital flows: New uses of balance of payments data and application to financial crises, Thorsten Janus and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Learning by doing, short-sightedness and indeterminacy, Paul Shea
Submissions from 2012
Adjustment patterns to commodity terms of trade shocks: The role of exchange rate and international reserves policies, Joshua Aizenman, Sebastian Edwards, and Daniel Riera-Crichton
Submissions from 2008
Real exchange rate and international reserves in an era of growing financial and trade integration, Joshua Aizenman and Daniel Riera-Crichton